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MIT IDS.333 Risk and Decision Analysis, Fall 2021

by MIT OpenCourseWare · 45 videos

Total watch time

5h 49m

at 1× speed · exactly 5 hours, 49 minutes, 17 seconds at 1×

1×5h 49m 17s
1.25×4h 39m 26s
1.5×3h 52m 51s
1.75×3h 19m 35s
2×2h 54m 39s
Average video7m 46s
Longest14m 24s
Shortest1m 51s
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Videos (45)

5h 49m in total · tick what you've watched

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Videos to
Watched
1 Unit 2: the Forecast is always wrong, Video 1: Cost Estimates 9:54 2022-09-28
2 Unit 2: The Forecast is ‘Always’ wrong, Video 2: Demand Forecasts 9:51 2022-09-28
3 Unit 2: The Forecast is Always wrong, Video 3: Porcupine Graphs 8:09 2022-09-28
4 Unit 2: The Forecast is "Always" wrong, Video 4: Common Forecasting Process Inherently Flawed 4:48 2022-09-28
5 Unit 2: The Forecast is Always wrong, Video 5: Flaw of Averages 1-the Concept 4:40 2022-09-28
6 Unit 2: The Forecast is Always wrong, Video 6: Flaw of Averages 2-the Consequences 4:58 2022-09-28
7 Unit 4: Parking Garage Case Example, Video 1: Introduction 3:13 2022-09-28
8 Unit 4: Parking Garage Case Example, Video 2: Logic of Analysis 5:11 2022-09-28
9 Unit 4: Parking Garage Case Example, Video 3: Recognizing Uncertainty, Simulation 6:15 2022-09-28
10 Unit 4: Parking Garage Case Example, Video 4: Adding Flexibility 8:14 2022-09-28
11 Unit 4: Parking Garage Case Example, Video 5: Design to Manage Uncertainties 5:25 2022-09-28
12 Unit 4: Parking Garage Case Example, Video 6: Flexibility is Win-Win 4:20 2022-09-28
13 Unit 5: Mechanics of Simulation, Video 1: Concept—What Is Needed 10:40 2022-09-28
14 Unit 5: Mechanics of Simulation, Video 2: Recommended Process 6:58 2022-09-28
15 Unit 5: Mechanics of Simulation, Video 3: Outcomes and Target Curves 9:13 2022-09-28
16 Unit 5: Mechanics of Simulation, Video 4: Decision Rules and Unit Closure 8:00 2022-09-28
17 Unit 5: Mechanics of Simulation, Video 5: Physical Situation 4:39 2022-09-28
18 Unit 5: Mechanics of Simulation, Video 6: Simulation and Value Flexibility "on" Project 9:33 2022-09-28
19 Unit 5: Mechanics of Simulation, Video 7: Value of Flex "in" Project 1:51 2022-09-28
20 Unit 7: Drivers of Flexibility, Video 1: Five Main Drivers—Uncertainty is Most Important 7:57 2022-09-28
21 Unit 7: Drivers of Flexibility, Video 2: Economies of Scale 11:40 2022-09-28
22 Unit 7: Drivers of Flexibility, Video 3: Discount rate and Learning Promote 10:31 2022-09-28
23 Unit 7: Drivers of Flexibility, Video 4: Balancing Overall Effect of Drivers 12:23 2022-09-28
24 Unit 8: Decision Analysis 1, Video 1: Advantages 8:59 2022-09-28
25 Unit 8: Decision Analysis 2, Video 2: Decision Trees 8:00 2022-09-28
26 Unit 8: Decision Analysis 3, Video 3: Constructing Trees 6:34 2022-09-28
27 Unit 8: Decision Analysis 4, Video 4: Multistage Analysis 7:27 2022-09-28
28 Unit 8: Decision Analysis 5 Video 5: Retrospective Overview 6:04 2022-09-28
29 Unit 9: Value of Information, Video 1: Concept of Test 8:23 2022-09-28
30 Unit 9: Value of Information, Video 2: Value of Test 6:23 2022-09-28
31 Unit 9: Value of Information, Video 3: Expected Value of Sample Information 5:48 2022-09-28
32 Unit 9: Value of Information, Video 4: Expected Value of Perfect Information 11:44 2022-09-28
33 Unit 9: Value of Information 5, Video 5: Is Test Worthwhile? 6:08 2022-09-28
34 Unit 10: Utility Analysis and Multidimensional Evaluation, Video 1: Is Optimization Possible? 7:54 2022-09-28
35 Unit 10: Utility Analysis and Multidimensional Evaluation, Video 2: Diminishing Marginal Utility 8:51 2022-09-28
36 Unit 10: Utility Analysis and Multidimensional Evaluation, Video 3: Conditions for Value Function 9:43 2022-09-28
37 Unit 10: Utility Analysis and Multidimensional Evaluation, Video 4: Consequences 4:14 2022-09-28
38 Unit 10: Utility Analysis and Multidimensional Evaluation, Video 5: There's No Valid Group Utility 5:33 2022-09-28
39 Unit 10: Utility Analysis and Multidimensional Evaluation, Video 6: Dominated Solutions 8:01 2022-09-28
40 Unit 10: Utility Analysis and Multidimensional Evaluation, Video 7: Robustness and Take-aways 7:11 2022-09-28
41 Unit 11: De-Salt and LNG Cases, Video 1: De-Salt Plant Australia 12:47 2022-09-28
42 Unit 11: LNG Case 1, Video 2: Introduction 12:37 2022-09-28
43 Unit 11: LNG Case 2, Video 3: Initial Analysis 14:24 2022-09-28
44 Unit 11: LNG Case 3, Video 4: Learning effects 8:40 2022-09-28
45 Unit 11: LNG Case 4, Video 5: Final Analysis 5:29 2022-09-28

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